2008年1月22日 星期二

Common Yet Different Democracies

By Kurt Campbell

Last week, newspapers in New Hampshire and Taiwan -- thousands of kilometers apart and meant for vastly different audiences with completely different cultures and political traditions -- carried eerily familiar pictures. In one, a despondent Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) supporter was seen somewhat in shock after the results of the legislative elections were announced, which saw a rout of the DPP at the hands of rival Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) candidates. The picture was accompanied by a story of what this would mean for the presidential election in March.

At the same time, a Nashua, New Hampshire, newspaper carried a very similar picture of a deflated supporter of Representative Barack Obama trudging dejectedly through the thick snow after Hillary Clinton's surprise upset in the Democratic primary.

While there is much that separates the US and Taiwan -- very different histories, national aspirations and worldviews -- there are still important things that unite them. The US and Taiwan each possesses among the most active and participatory democracies in the world and the intensity of the two presidential campaigns are cases in point.

There has been extensive discussion of late of a worrisome drift in the US-Taiwan relationship and there are indeed signs of discord and clear areas for worry.

President Chen Shui-bian's (陳水扁) seemingly insatiable push for a referendum on joining the UN has drawn particular ire from the Bush administration. So too have persistent disagreements about defense spending and participation in international institutions created occasional tensions between Washington and Taipei.

These instances of disagreement and discord take place amid the background of China's dramatic rise to great power status. It is undeniable that China now plays a much larger role in Washington's calculation on virtually every matter of global importance, from North Korean nuclear weapons to currency woes to energy anxieties to unrest in Pakistan.

The US now needs a constructive partnership with China as never before, which has resulted in Taiwan feeling increasingly squeezed by the growing weight of China in all matters of international diplomacy and commerce.

Nevertheless, what is often forgotten behind the banal bromides that celebrate the vibrancy of Taiwanese democracy is that the US and Taiwan share a common experience of democracy, including all its many disappointments, difficulties and dilemmas that cannot be easily ignored.

Indeed, national leaders who are regularly subjected to the difficult discipline of polling stations and voting booths understand each other at some very basic, core level.

While US officials often claim to be mystified by a Taiwanese move or maneuver on an issue related to identity or national character, the truth is that deep down, Americans of virtually every stripe understand the motivations behind initiatives that at the same time are seen as disruptive or even dangerous.

What is sometimes forgotten in the occasionally tense to and fro between Washington and Taipei is that unlike the previous era of US-Taiwanese diplomacy, when national authorities could act with much less concern about public scrutiny or opposition, the current leaders must be much more responsive to public sentiment and criticism.

While it is true that, on occasion, Taiwanese leaders have taken steps that went against the advice given by Washington, these initiatives were usually undertaken with a specific domestic group of supporters in mind. In a sense, this is the essence of democracy.

The challenge for this and the next generation of US and Taiwanese leaders will be to better appreciate the pressures and interests of the other. For the US president, it will mean a simultaneous desire to maintain a stable and durable understanding with China while at the same time seeking to preserve Taiwan's security and democracy.

For the Taiwanese president, it will mean negotiating a complex path between domestic expectations for greater national identity and international standing, while taking account of the obvious desires of both Beijing and Washington to avoid actions that could trigger a crisis.

Clearly, Washington and Taipei will have their hands full, but in the complex trilateral dialogue and diplomacy between Washington, Taipei and Beijing, it is clear that the common experience of democracy has created inevitable and undeniable connections between Taiwan and the US that cannot and should not be ignored. Indeed, it is these values, along with other strategic interests, that keep the US so closely engaged in the Western Pacific.

So, as presidential campaigning continues in the US and Taiwan, it is important to keep these common political experiences in mind while both sides negotiate a complex future together.

Kurt Campbell is the chief executive officer and cofounder of the Center for a New American Security.

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